NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 07, 2021
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 24 | 12 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.0 | 1 |
| 2 | Dan Ellenberger | 23 | 12 | 63.9% | 2 | 32.3 | 2 |
| 3 | Gavin Gray | 21 | 11 | 56.8% | 3 | 28.8 | 3 |
| 4 | Nick Boucher | 19 | 12 | 52.8% | 4 | 26.8 | 4 |
| 4 | Matt Hogel | 19 | 12 | 52.8% | 4 | 26.6 | 5 |
| 4 | Luke Phelan | 19 | 10 | 50.0% | 6 | 25.4 | 6 |
| 7 | Andrew Batchelor | 18 | 12 | 50.0% | 6 | 25.0 | 7 |
| 8 | Mike Thorne | 17 | 12 | 47.2% | 8 | 24.4 | 8 |
| 9 | Karl Loiseau | 16 | 11 | 43.2% | 9 | 22.7 | 9 |
| 10 | Andrew Moeller | 14 | 12 | 38.9% | 10 | 20.5 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 9 | 12.8 | BUF | 0.61 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 8 | 11.0 | @WAS | 0.64 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 9.2 | SF | 0.54 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 10 | 13.4 | RAM | 0.59 |
| Tennessee Titans | 8 | 11.2 | JAX | 0.8 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 7.7 | PIT | 0.61 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| New England Patriots | 9 | 11.5 | BYE | |
| Cleveland Browns | 6 | 8.6 | BAL | 0.57 |
| Denver Broncos | 6 | 8.7 | DET | 0.75 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 9.2 | BYE | |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 8.2 | BYE | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 8.0 | @MIN | 0.39 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 8 | 10.8 | @ARI | 0.41 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 9.1 | @CIN | 0.46 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 6.7 | ATL | 0.59 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 9 | 12.4 | CHI | 0.86 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 10.2 | NYG | 0.82 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 4.2 | NO | 0.31 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 10.6 | @CLE | 0.43 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 5 | 6.7 | @CAR | 0.41 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 7.7 | @NYJ | 0.69 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 10.5 | @TB | 0.39 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 7.9 | @KC | 0.2 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 6.0 | @LAC | 0.18 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 11.1 | LVR | 0.8 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 7.9 | BYE | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 3.7 | @TEN | 0.2 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Washington | 6 | 8.0 | DAL | 0.36 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 5.7 | @GB | 0.14 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 6.8 | @HOU | 0.75 |
- Win probability calculated from consensus vegas point spreads
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 9 | 1 | 10 | -1 | 1 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 8 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 10 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 21 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 6 | 10 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| New England Patriots | 9 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Denver Broncos | 6 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 9 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 8 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 11 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 9 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 15 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 5 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 4 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 25 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 2 | 9 | -1 | 3 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 29 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 19 |
| Washington | 6 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 22 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
Draft Results
